Price Prediction
Kalshi Contract Hits 21% Odds of U.S. Treasury Bitcoin Purchase
A Kalshi contract betting that the U.S. Treasury will buy bitcoin before 2028 touched 21%, but only a small amount of money is backing that number. The contract's odds rose to 20% for a Treasury bitcoin purchase next year, but the market resolves only on a Treasury announcement of a completed purchase for a government-held reserve. The contract shows $1,617 in total volume, with about 309 contracts traded on the 2028 deadline and about 1,305 on the 2026 deadline.