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JPMorgan Models Bitcoin Reaching $215,300 in 10-Year Bull Case

JPMorgan Asset Management released its 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, including a $215,000 base-case price for Bitcoin. The firm's three scenarios for Bitcoin's performance over the next decade range from a collapse toward $25,000 to a rally approaching $385,500. The base case assumes BTC generates compound annual returns of 10%, implying a price of about $215,300 from the report's $83,000 reference price. The projections mark J.P. Morgan Asset Management's first long-term Bitcoin scenario analysis in its 31-year annual outlook history, reflecting the cryptocurrency's growing importance to institutional investors.

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