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Quantum Risk Outlook for Crypto
The email discusses accelerating timelines for cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs), citing Dr. Richard Carback’s prediction of a March 8, 2028 inflection point and various industry estimates (28‑49% chance by 2035, 51‑70% by 2040). It notes recent research reducing required qubits to break RSA‑2048 to under 500K (Google) or ~10K (Oratomic), and highlights Ethereum’s post‑quantum roadmap targeting 2028‑2029, Bitcoin’s BIP‑360 merger and controversial BIP‑361 proposal affecting ~6.9M BTC, and Solana’s Falcon signature scheme. The piece warns of wallet migration risks, potential market impacts of a CRQC‑enabled hack, and mentions Binance’s bStocks overtaking Ondo as the largest tokenized stock issuer with $980M supply.