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AI Model Predicts 76% Risk of Bitcoin Signature Break by 2046
Onchain analyst Willy Woo shared AI-generated estimates suggesting a 1.3% probability that Bitcoin’s digital signatures could be broken within two years. Bitcoin.com News expanded this experiment, consulting four AI models and examining potential cryptographic threats across four distinct time horizons. The models predicted a 76% risk of a practical cryptographic break for Bitcoin’s ECDSA and Schnorr signatures by 2046, with Hangzhou Deepseek’s model offering the most conservative 20-year outlook at 34%. The AI models identified quantum computing as the principal long-term concern, with classical mathematics and AI-assisted cryptanalysis representing a comparatively smaller threat. The models’ forecasts also consistently identified quantum computing as the principal long-term concern, with classical mathematics and AI-assisted cryptanalysis representing a comparatively smaller threat.