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Bitcoin Volatility Analysis: Less to Worry About for Most Traders
Bitcoin.com News analyzed almost nine years of data, from January 2018 to October 2026, and found that volatility spikes right after announcements, lasting about an hour. The data suggests that unless you trade one-minute BTC charts, there is less to worry about. The analysis shows that U.S. Federal Reserve and economic data releases move the price about two to three times as much as normal in the first 30 minutes. Volatility generally subsides within one to three hours. The exception was the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) in 2022, when inflation and interest rates were the main concerns. U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) launched in January 2024 did not make bitcoin more volatile. U.S. tax deadlines also did not make bitcoin more volatile. However, in years following big gains, bitcoin tended to weaken in the month before the annual tax deadline.